PENGUIN GROUP USA "The Signal and the Noise" Book is written by Nate Silver and deals with a catastrophic failure of prediction.
PENGUIN GROUP USA "The Signal and the Noise" Book contains chapters on years you've been telling us that rain is green. Book describes about rage against the machines and a climate of healthy skepticism.
Age group and grade: Ages 18+ years and grades adult
Title: "The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't"
Author: Nate Silver
Subject: General political science/politics - general/mathematics - probability and statistics
Number of pages: 544
Publisher: Penguin Group (USA) Incorporated
Publication date: 9/27/2012
Size: 9.5"H x 6.45"W x 1"D
Explores unanticipated commonalities and exposes unexpected juxtapositions
Observes that the most accurate forecasters tend to have a superior command of probability and they tend to be both humble and hardworking
Human element is still essential in predicting advances in science, technology and even politics... if we were only wise enough to learn from our mistakes
Examines the world of prediction, investigating how we can distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data
Provides unpredictably illuminating insights differentiating objective and subjective realities in forecasting our future
Author makes a serious and systematic effort to show us how to clean the noise off the signal
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